Octopus Agile Stats

Tracking periods when electricity is cheap

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Retrospective Analysis
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Total Plunges
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Lowest Recorded
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How Octopus Agile Works

The Agile Octopus tariff links your electricity price directly to live wholesale energy prices. The day is divided into discrete 30-minute "slots." When weather conditions are perfect, excess renewable energy floods the grid, causing wholesale prices to plunge below zero. During these negative slots, Octopus actively pays you for every single unit (kWh) of electricity you consume! This dashboard tracks the historical frequency and intensity of those 30-minute slots.

Cheap Slots per Month & Year

Yearly Breakdown

Year Total Cheap/Negative Priced Slots Total Days with Cheap/Negative Prices

Most Negative Slots: Year vs Month

Frequency of negative prices by year and month

📊 Macro Trend Analysis

Historically, negative pricing clusters heavily in the spring and deeply windy winter months (noticeably spiking in 2023 and 2024). The volume of cheap slots systematically accelerates during seasons with erratic high-pressure weather patterns, where intense renewable generation (abundant wind) overlaps with mild temperatures, keeping baseline heating and cooling demands low.

Yearly Distribution: Daily Slot Intensity

Total number of matching slots per specific day of the year

Most Negative Slots: Day vs Hour

Average payout (in pence per kWh) during negative slots

âš¡ The "Sunday Slump" Phenomenon

There is a drastic intensity shift clustering specifically on Saturdays and Sundays. Plunges happen reliably during midday slots (10:00 - 15:00) and deep overnight segments (01:00 - 05:00). These windows represent the exact collision of maximum renewable output (peak midday solar or nighttime offshore wind) meeting the massive structural drop-off in commercial and industrial power consumption during the weekend checkout.

Total Slots: Month vs Weekday

Total frequency of negative slots by month and day of the week

📅 The Seasonal Weekend Skew

Sunday heavily dominates the cheap pricing distribution vertically across all twelve months. Interestingly, during high-solar high-heat summer months (like July and August), this "weekend effect" frequently bleeds backwards into Fridays and Mondays as large parts of the industrial grid throttle down, exacerbating the oversupply problem.

Unique Days: Month vs Weekday

Number of distinct calendar days that experienced at least one negative slot

💡 Slot Volume vs Day Consistency

While the previous chart highlights sheer volume (how many total slots plunged), this chart reveals reliability. It strips away multi-slot wind-storms to show you how many actual distinct calendar days plunged globally. If a cell is intensely colored here, it means you can routinely bank on that specific weekday plunging in that month!